Groundhog Day Statistics

How Many Times Has the Groundhog Seen His Shadow from 1887 to 2015

Groundhog at Gobbler's Knob in Punxsutawney, PA.
Groundhog at Gobbler's Knob in Punxsutawney, PA. Alex Wong/Getty Images News/Getty Images

Every February 2, tens of thousands of people gather in Punxsutawney, Pennsylvania to celebrate Groundhog Day. On this date the groundhog Punxsutawney Phil - that seer of seers and prognosticator of prognosticators - emerges from his burrow in a hollowed out tree stump at Gobbler‘s Knob. Legend has it that if the groundhog sees his shadow, the there will be six more weeks of winter. And if not, then there will be an early spring.

Phil’s forecasts are spoken in Groundhogese to a member of the "Inner Circle." This group of Puxatany notables not only translates Phil’s forecast into English, they are also responsible for the care and feeding of Phil throughout the rest of the year. This tradition is said to have started in 1887, and has grown in popularity in the years since. The groundhog‘s popularity was given an even greater boost following the release of the 1993 Bill Murray movie Groundhog Day.

The origins of Groundhog Day come from the Christian celebration of Candlemas. This day, corresponding to 40 days after Christmas, celebrates the day the infant Jesus was presented in the Jewish Temple. February 2 also marks the midpoint of the coldest temperatures in the northern hemisphere. Historically a rule of thumb stated that in order to have enough food for livestock, farmers should have half of their stored provisions remaining on Candlemas day.

Little to none of this remains in the modern day celebration of Groundhog Day. What follows is a collection of forecasts from Groundhog Days of years past, according to Punxsutawney's official Groundhog Club.

Year Result
1887 Saw Shadow
1888 Saw Shadow
1889 No Record
1890 No Shadow
1891 No Record
1892 No Record
1893 No Record
1894 No Record
1895 No Record
1896 No Record
1897 No Record
1898 Saw Shadow
1899 No Record
1900 Saw Shadow
1901 Saw Shadow
1902 No Shadow
1903 Saw Shadow
1904 Saw Shadow
1905 Saw Shadow
1906 Saw Shadow
1907 Saw Shadow
1908 Saw Shadow
1909 Saw Shadow
1910 Saw Shadow
1911 Saw Shadow
1912 Saw Shadow
1913 Saw Shadow
1914 Saw Shadow
1915 Saw Shadow
1916 Saw Shadow
1917 Saw Shadow
1918 Saw Shadow
1919 Saw Shadow
1920 Saw Shadow
1921 Saw Shadow
1922 Saw Shadow
1923 Saw Shadow
1924 Saw Shadow
1925 Saw Shadow
1926 Saw Shadow
1927 Saw Shadow
1928 Saw Shadow
1929 Saw Shadow
1930 Saw Shadow
1931 Saw Shadow
1932 Saw Shadow
1933 Saw Shadow
1934 No Shadow
1935 Saw Shadow
1936 Saw Shadow
1937 Saw Shadow
1938 Saw Shadow
1939 Saw Shadow
1940 Saw Shadow
1941 Saw Shadow
1942 Partial Shadow
1943 No Appearance by Groundhog
1944 Saw Shadow
1945 Saw Shadow
1946 Saw Shadow
1947 Saw Shadow
1948 Saw Shadow
1949 Saw Shadow
1950 No Shadow
1951 Saw Shadow
1952 Saw Shadow
1953 Saw Shadow
1954 Saw Shadow
1955 Saw Shadow
1956 Saw Shadow
1957 Saw Shadow
1958 Saw Shadow
1959 Saw Shadow
1960 Saw Shadow
1961 Saw Shadow
1962 Saw Shadow
1963 Saw Shadow
1964 Saw Shadow
1965 Saw Shadow
1966 Saw Shadow
1967 Saw Shadow
1968 Saw Shadow
1969 Saw Shadow
1970 No Shadow
1971 Saw Shadow
1972 Saw Shadow
1973 Saw Shadow
1974 Saw Shadow
1975 No Shadow
1976 Saw Shadow
1977 Saw Shadow
1978 Saw Shadow
1979 Saw Shadow
1980 Saw Shadow
1981 Saw Shadow
1982 Saw Shadow
1983 No Shadow
1984 Saw Shadow
1985 Saw Shadow
1986 No Shadow
1987 Saw Shadow
1988 No Shadow
1989 Saw Shadow
1990 No Shadow
1991 Saw Shadow
1992 Saw Shadow
1993 Saw Shadow
1994 Saw Shadow
1995 No Shadow
1996 Saw Shadow
1997 No Shadow
1998 Saw Shadow
1999 No Shadow
2000 Saw Shadow
2001 Saw Shadow
2002 Saw Shadow
2003 Saw Shadow
2004 Saw Shadow
2005 Saw Shadow
2006 Saw Shadow
2007 No Shadow
2008 Saw Shadow
2009 Saw Shadow
2010 Saw Shadow
2011 No Shadow
2012 Saw Shadow
2013 No Shadow
2014 Saw Shadow
2015 Saw Shadow
2016 No Shadow
Format
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Your Citation
Taylor, Courtney. "Groundhog Day Statistics." ThoughtCo, Apr. 5, 2023, thoughtco.com/groundhog-day-statistics-3126158. Taylor, Courtney. (2023, April 5). Groundhog Day Statistics. Retrieved from https://www.thoughtco.com/groundhog-day-statistics-3126158 Taylor, Courtney. "Groundhog Day Statistics." ThoughtCo. https://www.thoughtco.com/groundhog-day-statistics-3126158 (accessed April 23, 2024).